Were keen to see how close the Suns can get to the Demons - after all, theyre 4-0 in their last four Round 2s - and then games against Carlton and St Kilda will be very telling. Richmond bullied St Kilda, and we saw a sustained ruthlessness from the Tigers we don't always seem to see. No Credit Card. This week, we worry about Fremantle and Carlton's seasons, discuss Collingwood's clutch fourth terms, and heap praise on . Previous ranking: 4. And the team right on top faces a problem with the system itself. This week's opponent: North Melbourne (Optus Stadium), 11. Next article Essendon appoint Josh Mahoney as new footy boss . Love the AFL? Richmond need to win well these next two weeks if they're to scrape into finals, but even then they'll be relying on other results to fall their way. Just like the Bullet Club, Collingwood is fine. Crowds are back in Victoria! 2021 record: 13-7 You must provide an email address to create a Roar account, When using Facebook to create or log in to an account, you need to grant The Roar permission to see your email address, By joining The Roar you agree to our Privacy Policy and Terms & Conditions. This week's opponent: Geelong (GMHBA Stadium), 14. GEELONG CATS (10-4, 120.6%) Last week's ranking: 1 (down two) The Cats can certainly still win the flag. The Bombers have been patchy at times, but their good footy is quite good. There are rumblings down on Royal Parade, and fair enough - the fans have been extremely patient. Anything above respectability in 2022 is just a bonus for the Magpies. 4. Adelaide No. Port Adelaide With likely just one game left in Mark McVeighs stint as coach - Adem Yze is viewed as the strong favourite to land the full-time job - wed just like to give McVeigh credit for the way hes handled the role. Comment on stories, get exclusive content and submit your own articles! Is that the club's best home and away win? For all of the concerns about their attack, theyre averaging 87 points across the course of the season and 87.2 points over the last five weeks which includes games against 11th, 9th, 8th, 6th and 5th, so theyre not that far off their season-long pace (even if its been pretty ugly). Set a deposit limit. But surely at some point this club wont be in the midst of an injury crisis. For the best odds on the game try out Aussie bookmaker PlayUp. And their percentage of a bang-on-average 100 - which should dip below that mark assuming they lose to a Sydney side playing for a top-four spot - shows theyre nowhere near success. We mentioned this months ago, but St Kilda's poor percentage will ultimately keep them out of finals. They werent exactly convincing last Friday night against the Saints but theyre not far off a home prelim and a golden opportunity at a Grand Final. For the neutral its probably more interesting if the Hawks lose - so Blues-Magpies is win-and-youre-in - but Sam Mitchell wouldnt care about making the neutral happy. But they were unable to match Hawthorn for their long-term consistency. !Like | Comment your thoughts | SubscribeStay tuned for podcast dropping Friday @ 7 PM Tell me your thoughts in the comment section, who. . The Sydney Derby is quickly becoming the best match-up in footy in terms of watchability. The Sydney Derby is quickly becoming the best match-up in footy in terms of watchability. AFL 2023: ESPN's way-too-early predictions - Can the Cats go again? Is there a team in the AFL with a bigger gap between their best and worst footy? There is nothing that can sum up our thoughts on Essendons performance against Port Adelaide better than this. Next game: Sydney Swans at the SCG, Friday night. QUIZ: Which AFL club should you support? Oops! The average salary of an AFL men's player on the primary list in 2020 was $259,651, down from $363,430 in 2019, which will revert in 2022 as the salary cap expands once more and clubs can shift . Pick the best team and compete with other fans for daily prizes on Draftstars. Get AFL news and more in your inbox Next game: GWS Giants at Manuka Oval, Saturday early. Essendon Maybe it wont be this year, especially if they dont get to play their five remaining home games in Perth, and even if they do theyve got some pretty tough ones left. There were a some other very great teams during this period but as they could not grasp that third premiership, I could not include them. See what AFL Teams are leading in key statistics like kIcks, handballs, disposals or marks. Previous ranking: 18. As mentioned in the . Furthermore, over the very long run Ive looked at every match score between 1980 and 2013 AFL match scores are normally distributed. Something has to change if they're going to improve on last year's 11th-placed finish. It'll be fascinating to see the final seedings when the season is done and dusted. The LDV T60 MAX 4x4 diesel ute comes with a massive 160kW of power from a small $34,490. Close but no cigar for the Crows this week, who are, truthfully, probably a two-goal worse side than the Dockers, and that's nothing to be offended by given Adelaide's awful 2020. Theyre not in the lead group of flag contenders - theyre 0-3 against the sides above them, and yet to play Melbourne - but theyve opened up a gap on the rest of the ladder, and we know they can beat bottom ten teams. They're just lucky that Adelaide somehow beat both Melbourne and Geelong, and that Hawthorn also had some crazy upsets. Carlton 2021 record: 8-10-1 Multiple premierships! It guarantees another year of growing their win total. 2013 Premiers MP 135.7 North Melbourne 2021 record: 5-13-1 18. 1. AFL Debate Club: How could Gather Round best be improved in coming years? If they can make the top two theyre a definite flag contender because beating them at the Gabba is extremely difficult, however the Lions are 0-3 against the top eight in games played outside of Brisbane. Put aside footy tribalism and just enjoy the Pies, The 10 best AFL players at the quarter mark of the 2023 season. This week's opponent: Port Adelaide (Adelaide Oval), 14. What can you say about this team? Is it the Cats' premiership to lose this year? 1985 Runner-Up 3RD 130.8per cent You feel like the Power are still in no mans land. Perhaps a bit of both, at this stage. Next game: Brisbane Lions at Marvel Stadium, Saturday twilight. 2015 Premiers 3RD 158.4 2021 record: 4-1 Next game: North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium, Saturday afternoon. ), add it up and thats an 80% chance one upset happens. The reverse applies, too. Their defence continues to stand up and their midfield can match it with the best. 1981 Premiers MP 130.3 Their period of dominance is still in the making, so lets see whether they can extend it? And its hard to argue theyll be enormous threats in an elimination final, which likely would be at Optus Stadium against the Dockers, or against a current top-four team. GWS Theyre a remarkable 27-1 in their last 28 home and away games at the Gabba, dating back to Easter Thursday 2019, even though the footy world doesnt speak about their home ground advantage in the same way they do with the WA sides, or Richmond before last year. Other than the fact that they didnt beat Port Adelaide, it was a great weekend for Sydney, who should only need to go 4-4 from here to play finals. Green Bay Packers: 802 Points (16 points gained) 2. You cant play two games against the bottom two sides on the ladder, not win either of them, and expect to play finals. 2019 Premiers 3RD 113.7 Jeremy Cameron playing this week? They're the most experienced group in the hunt, will probably lock up the double chance, and will get Jeremy Cameron back shortly. What we expect, and what happens in the data, is that around two thirds of team performances fall within this one band, and 97 per cent fall within two. This week's opponent: Western Bulldogs (Marvel Stadium), 10. No. With matches upcoming against the Lions and Bombers, signs are pointing to no, but an upset in either clash might be enough to leapfrog the Hawks and Suns, given the Pies' percentage. Remarkably the Dockers were the only team ranked between fifth and 11th on the ladder that actually won on the weekend; and to hold off Collingwood, on the road and without Nat Fyfe and Matt Taberner (for a half) is a big tick for this sides growth. AFL Debate Club: What is Gillon McLachlan's defining achievement as AFL CEO? Its pretty easy to keep Melbourne at No.1 when they basically looked like their 2021 selves last Wednesday, easing past the Western Bulldogs in a Grand Final rematch that looked eerily similar to the original. AFL: Boring Blues, dismal Dockers, Ross Lyon, and hard-to-believe stats. What do we also want? It's been a year of learning for the Tigers and Damien Hardwick, who has openly admitted he doesn't like how footy is being played. But given they started the last two seasons poorly, losing to the reigning wooden spooners to open 2021 and going 1-2 to begin 2020, its always nice to get off on the right foot. The Blues werent overly convincing against Adelaide, but in their situation, any win is a good win. Its not uncommon for the Tigers to allow Carlton to come home strong in their traditional Round 1 meeting; it just usually means they win by five goals after being 10 goals up, or whatever. Geelong and Collingwood, on their respective nine-game streaks, Hawthorn, beating up on the bottom three, and Sydney. Theyve ironed out some of the issues that made them inconsistent and vulnerable to upsets, including losses to Essendon, Port Adelaide and Gold Coast in the middle of the season. Lessons will be learned, and there's a good opportunity to bounce back this week on the Gold Coast. Tip now at ESPNfootytips Otherwise theyre just the best of the rest. Put aside footy tribalism and just enjoy the Pies, The 10 best AFL players at the quarter mark of the 2023 season. Good but incredibly inconsistent teams at will just miss finals . To us, that's a sign that Richmond is being worked out. For example, the 1997 Bulldogs finished third with a percentage of 101.8 and made a prelim, but under the weird old finals format where their first final was against sixth. With the Suns and Bombers next up, we suspect the Demons wont be seriously tested again until their Round 4 trip to face Port Adelaide. 2011 Premiers 2ND 157.4 AFL Debate Club: What is Gillon McLachlan's defining achievement as AFL CEO? Lose to North? Next game: Adelaide Crows at Adelaide Oval, Saturday twilight 3. The Mexico national football team plays its home games at the Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. Round table -- New rules? This week's opponent: North Melbourne (MCG), 13. The chart below shows the cumulative Z-score of each of the 16 teams which played in all ten seasons of the study period. Three wins in a row - even if the last two were kinda-close games against the bottom two - see the Crows moving up past their bottom six rivals whove battled in recent weeks. While a loss for the Cats and the Bulldogs hasn't really changed too much for them at this point, Sydney's loss to St Kilda has. 2021 record: 9-11 5 Richmond Probably the most interesting of all the listed teams. To us, all of that is the most interesting part of Sundays game. Drag the images into the order you would like. 1972 Premiers MP 134.3per cent As frequent readers of this column know, weve been Richmond believers for a while - the whole being 9-8 with a draw after three winless weeks thing forced us to drop them a bit - and when you look at the big picture its not hard to see why opposition clubs might be frightened of them come September. We want to see it! Many fans had turned to it. During this period there was another two standout teams so this result could have been even greater if it wasnt for Essendon and Carlton. AFL Rookie Rankings: An historic start for a bumper draft class, One win after four games but don't write the Tigers off yet, AFL Draft Power Rankings: Harley Reid leads the top 20 prospects, AFL Draft: Five must-watch prospects in 2023. You must provide an email address to create a Roar account, When using Facebook to create or log in to an account, you need to grant The Roar permission to see your email address, By joining The Roar you agree to our Privacy Policy and Terms & Conditions. Did anyone really have the Blues beating Port Adelaide last week? 2021 record: 8-11 Were not saying that proves Port Adelaide is better - were happy to put some respect on the Magpies name after their winning streak - but theyre not much worse. 2021 record: 2-3 The Bombers defence was their big flaw last year but even the 2005 Swans wouldnt have been able to stop the quality of entries Geelong was getting thanks to complete midfield dominance. Tasmania can be AFL 'destination club': McLachlan, Tassie AFL team a step closer with PM's $240m, Victory goalkeeper Dumont joins AFLW team, Dogs out to celebrate Bontempelli's milestone, Martin, Tigers not far off best says Hardwick, Fagan, Clarkson bullish on Tasmanian AFL team. First off - how good was that game?! Melbourne Another win at home? Next game: Brisbane Lions at the Gabba, Friday night. 7. Previous ranking: 5. AFLW 2023: ESPN's way-too-early predictions - North's time to shine? We dont know if theyre on Geelongs level but they may not have to be until a Grand Final. Perhaps the interim tag allowed it but either way, it has been incredibly refreshing. Make it very tough for cross-town rivals West Coast to finish in the eight, if they can get a breakthrough derby win. AFL 2023: ESPN's way-too-early predictions - Can the Cats go again? Previous ranking: 15. Either Blues fans will be going nuts in the crowd having seen the score from Tasmania or theyll be terrified. Five rounds into the 2021 AFL season and ESPN's Power Rankings seemed to have settled somewhat - with not much action taking place at the top or the bottom of the rankings. Or just want to know which team you're most suited to? This week's opponent: St Kilda (Marvel Stadium), 5. It certainly didnt feel like a five-goal loss against Sydney but in reality, with a couple of injury blows, the Magpies were nowhere near having the scoring power to win that game. As many wins as they have losses, percentage almost even. What we do know is they're 3-2 -- which is good -- with a winnable game against the Roos to come. This was supposed to be a start that set them up for a top-eight charge; now they have an always-tricky trip west to face Fremantle, before winnable but tricky meetings with Richmond, Hawthorn and Gold Coast (all in Melbourne). This week's opponent: North Melbourne (Marvel Stadium), 6. Well weve just been burned by them too many times this year. St Kilda For the newcomers: This is our attempt to rank every AFL club from best to worst right now. Plus the side stuck in no mans land. Previous ranking: 7. With a few important reinforcements for their trip east this week, youd expect them to prove too good for the reigning wooden spooners. Well, we had to be right at some point if we kept writing Collingwood will lose someday, we promise. Its a little bit whos hot and whos not; part predictive, part analysis of whats happened. This week's opponent: Gold Coast (Metricon Stadium), 7. So if they get into September, they may be able to cause some brief damage. This week's opponent: Adelaide (Adelaide Oval), 6. The quest for respectability continues. 4 Brisbane Many experts rate them as one of the greatest sides of all time and rightly so. Ranking every AFL after-the-siren winning goal since 2000. 2. Next game: Port Adelaide at Adelaide Oval, Saturday night. The Dockers will either lock in sixth spot by losing to GWS, or keep their top four hopes alive by beating them in the nations capital, at which point they have to wait until Sunday to learn their fate. Next game: Geelong Cats at the SCG, Friday night. They need to sort something out, and if we know anything about Luke Beveridge, its that hes happy to move the magnets to unexpected positions. Geelong The numbers below are basically how well a team performs, both on the offensive and defensive side of things, in a particular season, adjusted for how excellent or otherwise that performance was in the context of the season. 1991 Premiers 2ND 135.9per cent Thankfully for their sake, Essendon played like they did a few hours later and distracted everyone. We dont want to get too down on the Dogs; they certainly werent blown away by Melbourne, with their midfield clearly winning the clearance battle. Collingwood . Groundhog Day: Why should we care about the Suns? Weve thought the Swans were amongst 2022s elite for a while now - effectively since the start of their six-game winning streak - but the ladder finally reflects their rise. When theyre on, theres no team better to watch in footy - and probably no-one scarier. Next game: Fremantle at Optus Stadium (tbc), Saturday night. Absolutely yuck. Bouncing around in that band of teams between 7 and 12 in the rankings is Freo after a strong win over the Tigers at home. Nothing like an 86-point win in prime time to remind everyone who the kings of the jungle are. The teams that spring to mind were the Kangaroos 1996-1999 and Essendon 1983-1985. You often know who it is pretty early; Melbourne and Sydney were pretty clearly in the contending mix after three or so rounds last year. Adelaide Port should rebound comfortably with games in Adelaide against the Hawks and Crows to come. Have the Tigers over-achieved? Next game: St Kilda at Marvel Stadium, Sunday twilight, Watch every blockbuster AFL match this weekend Live & Ad-Break Free In-Play on Kayo. Sportaza stands out to us as a solid AFL betting site thanks to unbeatable bet types and a smart user interface. An unexpected win? Perfect! Thats how fine the margins are. Previous ranking: 5. We take wins and losses into account, but also the quality of opposition faced and whether teams are likely to get healthier or improve going forward. Yes, the Swans have moved up two spots after a loss; thats the difference between a valiant away defeat and flopping as the favourite. But Damien Hardwicks side was completely blown away in the midfield late on Thursday night and the absence of Dion Prestia once he went down with another soft tissue injury was seriously felt. Note: Throughout the year, ESPN will rank all 18 teams, from top to bottom, taking into account which teams are playing the best footy, injuries, each team's recent opponents, and which teams are . The Giants primarily move up a place in the rankings because Richmond and Essendon moved down past them, but they looked very solid against Sydney, particularly in the midfield with Tom Green a standout. This week's opponent: Fremantle (Optus Stadium), 7. There were shades of the 'Kyle Reimers' game about the Suns' loss to the Dogs there for a while. 2021 record: 3-2 Previous ranking: 9. Role players are battling manfully (Nick Hind has been a great pickup), the kids are doing their part, but the so-called stars have been anything but in 2021, as ESPN columnist Rohan Connolly pointed out this week. 1987 Runner-Up 2ND 147.1per cent. Peaking at the right time? Still, they have the AFLs best percentage and look bound for a top-two finish, given theyve got an easier run home than Melbourne and are virtually two wins ahead of Brisbane, Geelong and Port Adelaide. 2021 record: 6-13 And if you had to pick one team to do it right now the Blues have ticked the first box; they certainly look likely to be better this year. Check. I have reviewed AFL/VFL history over the last 60 years to isolate clubs who have reached a level of success that no fair-minded supporter has any right to complain about.
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