Churches in Mexico commemorate the story of Jesus rising to heaven on Ascension Day. There are some real concerns about whether Mexicans will continue to believe in their democratic system and their democratic institutions if the reforms play out the way President Lpez Obrador seems to want, in the sense that he wants the legislation to be upheld, said Andrew Rudman, director of the Mexico Institute at the Wilson Center. On the one hand, supporters of U.S. President Joe Biden point out that his White House has overseen a dramatic U-turn from the Show moredays of the Trump administration in terms of promoting decarbonization and clean energy and should be lauded for passing the (admittedly strangely titled) Inflation Reduction Act. The presidential electoral cycle for 2024 hasnt officially begun, per rules set by the electoral commission, but all three main contenders for the next presidential nomination were there. Mexican presidential front-runner Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador heads into Sunday's watershed election with a substantial lead in the polls and the hopes of a country disenchanted with . With Morena in power, the rich may not see economic prosperity, but they are not personally suffering, so it does not matter to the rich in the end game if Morena wins or loses. Ordorica is a journalist and analyst based in Mexico City. Our countries are not isolated islands, said Lorenzo Crdova Vianello, director of INE. The president also has the right to issue . [5] Adn Augusto Lpez, secretary of the interior and former governor of Tabasco has also expressed his intent to run for the highest office, yet he has maintained a lower profile and enjoys less name recognition. According to the governments National Institute for Statistics and Geography Inegi), the rich represent about 1.7 percent of the Mexican population, the middle class represents 39.2 percent, and the poor account for the remaining 59.1 percent. Despite Low Turnout, Mexico Voters Back President to Stay in Office President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador drew overwhelming support among those who cast ballots, but the recall referendum. If possible, verify the text with references provided in the foreign-language article. [3] Later, in government, on 19 March 2019, he signed a letter which stated In 2021, a consultation will be held to ask the citizens if they want me to continue governing or resign and rejected that the proposition of holding the recall conceals the intention to reelect me in 2024,[4] an accusation made by some opposition figures of the government. Two other Republicans ex-South Carolina Gov. Graphs are temporarily unavailable due to technical issues. Large campaigns require in-house planning, and this has been vendors: assemble week in Tallahassee, said a third source familiar with the meetings. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. The economy contracted 8.5% in 2020, though it is now clawing back . Are U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan finally listening to their European counterparts and advocating for a softer approach on China? Trump is fighting Democrats, DeSantis is fighting a mouse, said a member of the Florida GOPs state executive committee who supports DeSantis running for president. [3], The 128 members of the Senate are also elected by two methods, with 96 elected in 32 three-seat constituencies based on the states and 32 elected in a single nationwide constituency by proportional representation. (AMLO maintained in a press conference that the visit was part of Augusto Lpezs official duties.). The waves of massive protests in several Mexican cities, including a crowd of more than. You may opt out at any time. Monday, March 6, 2023 Approval Tracker: Mexico's President AMLO By Carin Zissis Check support levels for Andrs Manuel Lpez Obradorand polling for potential successorsas he enters the last two years of his presidency. Background [ edit] AMLO is hoping for his successor to continue his political programknown as the Fourth Transformationeven though with two years left in his presidency, his hoped-for legacy on combating poverty and inequality seems thin. What will it look like? Schools and most businesses are open. Former Vice President MikePence andFlorida Governor Ron DeSantis are expected to enter the Republicanarenaas well both have made recent visits to Iowa, where the GOP's first primary contest will being held. It seems that only an act of God could dislodge President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Ramos was confident that the president's movement, which he calls the fourth transformation of Mexico, would not end when he leaves office in September 2024. Join FPs Ravi Agrawal for a discussion with FP columnist Steven A. Cook and Gonul Tol, the founding director of the Turkey program at the Middle East Institute. If you find an error, please let us know. [10] To this end, later in that month, the leader of the senators for the governing party Morena, Ricardo Monreal vila, signaled that he would look for an extraordinary period of the Congress to address the regulation of the recall process with the proposal Federal Law of Revocation of Mandate and seeking to eliminate the phrase because of loss of confidence from the proposal. The members of the legislature elected on this date will be the first allowed to run for re-election in subsequent elections. MEXICO CITY Mexico is holding a first-of-its-kind presidential recall referendum this Sunday. Keep up with the world without stopping yours. The institutes request for more funding from the federal government to oversee the vote was rejected. The presidents critics pointed to the low overall turnout as anything but a mandate for Mr. Lpez Obrador and his efforts to transform the country. Left: Demonstrators march against the electoral reform proposed by Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador and in support of the National Electoral Institute (INE) in Mexico City, Mexico . General elections are scheduled to be held in Mexico in July 2024. The worry is that these reformsthe presidents second bite at the applesignal a larger trend away from the democratic system that has dominated in Mexico for more than two decades, making voting more difficult and reducing trust in elections. Lorenzo Crdova is a lawyer and a scholar, a man with an office full of books. Analysts said that the vote, which was executed smoothly, may actually end up bolstering the image of one of the presidents most frequent targets: Mexicos electoral watchdog. And the Morena government knows far too well that it cannot control the middle class, because that group has not gotten anything out of the AMLO administration, unless substandard public schools, overcrowded and underfunded health care, and a weakened buying power constitute a benefit. It surpassed expectations, said Blanca Heredia, a professor at CIDE, a research institution based in Mexico City. Is it too early to predict next Mexican president? MEXICO CITY (AP) Four candidates are in the race to become Mexico's next president in Sunday's election. Time and Date AS 19952023. 1. With the INE reforms, Lpez Obrador is making it easier for incumbents and their parties, like his Morena coalition, as well as other groups to challenge electoral outcomes if they dont like them, Rudman said. The Florida governor is poised to launch his presidential exploratory committee next month. Monreal has been the presidents ally for the past two decades. Governor's races are in play in 15 of the country's 32 states. Blas Ramos, 69, an electrical engineer, held up a sign reading Get out of Mexico, FBI, CIA, Gringos!. The problem is that even though Augusto Lpez runs the countrys second most important office in AMLOs cabinet, he is little known at the national level. And I think that at this stage, the government doesnt have the four secure votes that it needs in the Supreme Court for it to be sustained.. It was proposed by Lpez Obrador himself during his candidacy in the 2018 election and requested by opponents and supporters of his government. Brazil was able to regain its democratic footing following Bolsonaros aborted insurrection on Jan. 8. And just how far will Washington go in supporting Taiwan? But hes starting to look like a Scott Walker in 2015, Newt Gingrich in 2012 and Fred Thompson in 2008 maybe even a Chris Christie, who ended up not getting into the race.. The president has spent much of his term in campaign mode, traveling the country to meet with voters and keep his base energized. Alito, as he is known, is under investigation by the attorney general in his home state of Campeche. FP contributors top titles to make sense of the country ahead of its most important election, Report: These elections were characterised by its normalcy when it comes to electoral and democracy standards. Instead, like so much in the countrys polarized politics these days, the vote became one more trench from which each side of the political spectrum could do battle. From his presidential campaign, Lpez Obrador promised to hold a recall election two years into his eventual government. In the lead-up to the 2024 elections, the recall vote has served as an opportunity to fire up his base in key battlegrounds. It feels like a team that is staffing up, not scaling down.. A poster supporting President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador near the Metropolitan Cathedral in the historic center in Mexico City. Now, he has his sights set on Mexicos fragile democracy. As for public security, there are currently 26 homicides per 100,000 people in Mexico, the highest number since 2018. Mexico City . Ebrard has his own political profile that, contrary to Sheinbaum or Augusto Lpez, wasnt built around AMLO. To find out, FPs Ravi Agrawal spoke to John Kerry, Bidens special envoy for climate. Former governor on White House campaign: 'Why not me? Alberto Martnez, 59, said he hoped Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum would be the party's nominee. All emphasized, however, that mid-May is the target. He said the president was right to oppose U.S. calls to designate Mexican drug cartels as terrorist organizations or to use the U.S. military to crack down on the gangs. Our countries are not isolated islands,. An imminent launch would help alleviate the compounding anxiety among supporters over DeSantis taking too long to jump into the fray and risking missing his moment. Delivered Friday. Can AMLOs Popularity Survive a U.S. Although the reforms represent a real threat to democracy, said former Mexican Foreign Minister Jorge Castaeda, he remains optimistic that theyll be struck down. the World Justice Project index, Mexico has fallen nine points in just the last year to 113th place out of 139 countries in terms of fighting corruption. A Trump-Biden rematch may be in order for 2024: both candidates have announced they are running to hold the oval office.
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